Birmingham vs Leicester Prediction

Championship 25/26 · Sat 7 Feb, 15:01
Birmingham
21 Full time
Leicester
Birmingham 2–1 Leicester

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (55%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 55%
Draw 23%
Away 22%

💡 Birmingham are favourites — about 55 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 63.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 63.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1515 v 1462 Birmingham rated higher
Form Index WDWDW v WLDLL Birmingham 2.2 · Leicester 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Birmingham v Leicester

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Birmingham is the stronger side on Power Rating (1515 vs 1462).
  • Birmingham is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Birmingham
Form Index
Birmingham
Goal expectation
Birmingham
Home advantage
Birmingham

Green = favours Birmingham · Blue = favours Leicester. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BirminghamWDWDW2.2 ppg
LeicesterWLDLL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Birmingham1515
Leicester1462
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model62% · 21% · 17%
Power Rating56% · 16% · 28%
Machine-learning46% · 25% · 29%

AI match preview

Birmingham hold a 55% probability of securing a home victory against Leicester in this Championship clash, with an expected goals tally favoring the hosts at 2.29 to 1.14. The model suggests a competitive encounter, most likely ending 2-1, while there’s a strong chance (67%) the match will see over 2.5 goals and both teams finding the net (62%). Remember, these projections are statistical estimates and should be used responsibly when considering bets (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.29 – 1.14

Most likely score

2-1

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 67%

Under 33%

Both teams to score

Yes 62%

No 38%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Season averages (per game · last 92+ matches)

BirminghamLeicester
5.1 Corners 4.9
2.1 Cards 2.0
12.2 Fouls 10.7

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Birmingham 2–1 Leicester
Aug 2025 Leicester 2–0 Birmingham