Sheffield United vs Middlesbrough Prediction

Championship 25/26 · Mon 9 Feb, 20:01
Sheffield United 1–2 Middlesbrough

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (42%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 42%
Draw 27%
Away 31%

💡 Sheffield United have a slight edge — leaning Sheffield United, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 44.5/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 44.5
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1520 v 1594 Middlesbrough rated higher
Form Index LLWDW v WWWWW Sheffield United 1.4 · Middlesbrough 3.0 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Sheffield United v Middlesbrough

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Why we predict this

  • Middlesbrough is the stronger side on Power Rating (1594 vs 1520).
  • Middlesbrough is in clearly better recent form (3.0 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Middlesbrough
Form Index
Middlesbrough
Goal expectation
Sheffield United
Home advantage
Sheffield United

Green = favours Sheffield United · Blue = favours Middlesbrough. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Sheffield UnitedLLWDW1.4 ppg
MiddlesbroughWWWWW3.0 ppg
Power Rating
Sheffield United1520
Middlesbrough1594
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model39% · 28% · 32%
Power Rating36% · 26% · 38%
Machine-learning51% · 29% · 21%

AI match preview

Sheffield United and Middlesbrough are set for a closely contested Championship clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 42% probability. Both teams are expected to produce a tight game, reflected in an anticipated 1.47 to 1.32 expected goals ratio and a most likely 1-1 scoreline. Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score are moderately favored at 53% and 58% respectively, but remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.47 – 1.32

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 53%

Under 47%

Both teams to score

Yes 58%

No 42%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 130+ matches)

Sheffield UnitedMiddlesbrough
5.4 Corners 6.0
2.1 Cards 1.6
10.9 Fouls 9.8

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Stadium & conditions

Bramall Lane Sheffield, England Capacity 32,050 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Sheffield United 1–2 Middlesbrough
Aug 2025 Middlesbrough 1–0 Sheffield United