Who is predicted to win Leicester vs Southampton?

Our AI model predicts Home win (37% probability). The home/draw/away split is 37% / 28% / 35%.

What is the predicted score for Leicester vs Southampton?

The most likely scoreline from the SwiftScore model is 1-1 (12%), from projected expected goals of 1.64–1.54.

Will both teams score in Leicester vs Southampton?

Both teams to score: Yes 65%, No 35%. The chance of over 2.5 goals is 62%.

How confident is SwiftScore in this Leicester vs Southampton prediction?

SwiftScore rates this call 38.2/100. Every prediction is locked before kick-off and graded against the real result on our public accuracy page.

Leicester vs Southampton Prediction

Championship 25/26 · Tue 10 Feb, 19:45

Leicester

3–4 Full time

Southampton

Leicester 3–4 Southampton

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (37%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 37%

Draw 28%

Away 35%

💡 Leicester have a slight edge — leaning Leicester, but it's close.

Our pickHome win

SwiftScore Low · 38.2/100

🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited

SwiftScore 38.2

/100 confidence

Power Rating 1454 v 1524 Southampton rated higher

Form Index LDLLL v LWDWW Leicester 0.2 · Southampton 2.0 ppg

Model Consensus 67%

models back the pick

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Why we predict this

Southampton is the stronger side on Power Rating (1524 vs 1454).
Southampton is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.2 pts/game).
Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating

Southampton

Form Index

Southampton

Goal expectation

Leicester

Home advantage

Leicester

Green = favours Leicester · Blue = favours Southampton. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)

LeicesterLDLLL0.2 ppg

SouthamptonLWDWW2.0 ppg

Power Rating

Leicester1454

Southampton1524

Model Consensus (home/draw/away)

Goals model39% · 26% · 35%

Power Rating36% · 27% · 37%

Machine-learning51% · 30% · 19%

AI match preview

Leicester and Southampton are set for a tightly contested Championship clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 37% compared to 35% for the visitors, and a 28% chance of a draw. The expected goals are close, 1.64 for Leicester and 1.54 for Southampton, suggesting a balanced match with a most likely scoreline of 1-1. With a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% chance of both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.64 – 1.54

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 62%

Under 38%

Both teams to score

Yes 65%

No 35%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 130+ matches)

LeicesterSouthampton

4.9 Corners 5.8

2.0 Cards 2.1

10.7 Fouls 10.7

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Stadium & conditions

King Power Stadium Leicester, England Capacity 32,261 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Leicester 3–4 Southampton

Nov 2025 Southampton 3–0 Leicester