Charlton vs Stoke Prediction

Championship 25/26 · Wed 11 Feb, 19:45
Charlton
10 Full time
Stoke
Charlton 1–0 Stoke

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (30%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 36%
Draw 30%
Away 34%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 36.1/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 36.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1469 v 1498 Stoke rated higher
Form Index WLLWD v DLDLD Charlton 1.4 · Stoke 0.6 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1469 vs 1498).
  • Charlton is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Stoke
Form Index
Charlton
Goal expectation
Stoke
Home advantage
Charlton

Green = favours Charlton · Blue = favours Stoke. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
CharltonWLLWD1.4 ppg
StokeDLDLD0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Charlton1469
Stoke1498
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model29% · 38% · 33%
Power Rating42% · 24% · 34%
Machine-learning40% · 25% · 35%

AI match preview

Charlton and Stoke face off in a closely matched Championship encounter with the model giving a slight edge to Charlton at 36% and a near-equal 34% for Stoke, while a draw stands at 30%. The expected goals are low and balanced (0.78 for Charlton, 0.85 for Stoke), pointing toward a tight game, with 0-0 as the most likely scoreline. With only a 22% chance of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams scoring, this could be a cautious, low-scoring affair; remember these are statistical projections and gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.78 – 0.85

Most likely score

0-0

21% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 22%

Under 78%

Both teams to score

Yes 33%

No 67%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 46+ matches)

CharltonStoke
4.1 Corners 5.4
2.1 Cards 2.2
12.0 Fouls 11.6

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Charlton 1–0 Stoke
Nov 2025 Stoke 3–0 Charlton