✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (41%); it finished a home win.
What our model predicted
💡 Derby have a slight edge — leaning Derby, but it's close.
Back or counter the AI on Derby v Swansea
Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.
Why we predict this
- Closely matched on Power Rating (1531 vs 1505).
- Model components are split — lower conviction.
What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours
Green = favours Derby · Blue = favours Swansea. The model blends these into the probabilities above.
AI match preview
Derby and Swansea are set for a closely contested Championship clash, with the model slightly favoring a Derby win at 41% probability, though a draw remains a strong possibility. Both teams are projected to score around 1.1 goals each, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline. With under 2.5 goals and both teams scoring being nearly even probabilities, this match could hinge on fine margins; remember these are statistical projections and please gamble responsibly (18+).
Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.
Match predictions
Expected goals
1.13 – 1.15
Most likely score
1-1
15% likely
Over/Under 2.5
Over 40%
Under 60%
Both teams to score
Yes 48%
No 52%
Value bet vs odds
Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.
Go PremiumSeason averages (per game · last 92+ matches)
Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.
Unlock advanced player analysis
You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.
Stadium & conditions
Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.