Coventry vs Middlesbrough Prediction

Championship 25/26 · Mon 16 Feb, 20:00
Coventry
31 Full time
Middlesbrough
Coventry 3–1 Middlesbrough

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (47%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 47%
Draw 26%
Away 27%

💡 Coventry are favourites — about 47 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 53.2/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 53.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1579 v 1605 Middlesbrough rated higher
Form Index WWLLD v WWWWW Coventry 1.4 · Middlesbrough 3.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Coventry v Middlesbrough

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1579 vs 1605).
  • Middlesbrough is in clearly better recent form (3.0 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Middlesbrough
Form Index
Middlesbrough
Goal expectation
Coventry
Home advantage
Coventry

Green = favours Coventry · Blue = favours Middlesbrough. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
CoventryWWLLD1.4 ppg
MiddlesbroughWWWWW3.0 ppg
Power Rating
Coventry1579
Middlesbrough1605
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model53% · 27% · 20%
Power Rating43% · 24% · 34%
Machine-learning65% · 24% · 11%

AI match preview

Coventry hosts Middlesbrough in a closely contested Championship clash, with the model giving the home side a slight edge at 47% to win, while a draw stands at 26% and an away victory at 27%. Expected goals suggest Coventry may have the upper hand offensively (1.73 to 0.99), yet the most probable scoreline is a 1-1 draw. There is roughly a 51% chance the match will see over 2.5 goals and a 53% probability that both teams will score; these projections highlight the balanced nature of the encounter—please remember to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.73 – 0.99

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 51%

Under 49%

Both teams to score

Yes 53%

No 47%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Season averages (per game · last 138+ matches)

CoventryMiddlesbrough
5.8 Corners 6.0
1.7 Cards 1.6
10.7 Fouls 9.8

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Coventry 3–1 Middlesbrough
Nov 2025 Middlesbrough 2–4 Coventry