Bristol City vs Wrexham Prediction

Championship 25/26 · Tue 17 Feb, 19:45
Bristol City
22 Full time
Wrexham
Bristol City 2–2 Wrexham

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (42%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 42%
Draw 28%
Away 31%

💡 Bristol City have a slight edge — leaning Bristol City, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 44.7/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 44.7
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1503 v 1534 Wrexham rated higher
Form Index DLWLW v LDWWL Bristol City 1.4 · Wrexham 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1503 vs 1534).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Wrexham
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Wrexham
Home advantage
Bristol City

Green = favours Bristol City · Blue = favours Wrexham. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Bristol CityDLWLW1.4 ppg
WrexhamLDWWL1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Bristol City1503
Wrexham1534
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model33% · 31% · 36%
Power Rating42% · 24% · 34%
Machine-learning45% · 28% · 27%

AI match preview

Bristol City and Wrexham are set for a closely contested Championship clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 42% probability, while a draw or away win remain plausible outcomes. Both teams are expected to score, as indicated by a 51% chance of BTTS, and the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw despite Bristol City's marginally higher chance of victory. With an anticipated total goals tally hovering around 2.4, this match could offer balanced attacking opportunities, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.18 – 1.25

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 44%

Under 56%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%

No 49%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 46+ matches)

Bristol CityWrexham
5.2 Corners 4.5
1.7 Cards 1.6
9.8 Fouls 9.7

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Bristol City 2–2 Wrexham
Nov 2025 Wrexham 2–0 Bristol City