Charlton vs Portsmouth Prediction

Championship 25/26 · Tue 17 Feb, 19:45
Charlton
13 Full time
Portsmouth
Charlton 1–3 Portsmouth

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (43%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 43%
Draw 29%
Away 28%

💡 Charlton have a slight edge — leaning Charlton, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 46.7/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 46.7
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1478 v 1448 Charlton rated higher
Form Index LLWDW v DDWLL Charlton 1.4 · Portsmouth 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1478 vs 1448).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Charlton
Form Index
Charlton
Goal expectation
Charlton
Home advantage
Charlton

Green = favours Charlton · Blue = favours Portsmouth. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
CharltonLLWDW1.4 ppg
PortsmouthDDWLL1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Charlton1478
Portsmouth1448
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model52% · 32% · 16%
Power Rating52% · 18% · 30%
Machine-learning49% · 27% · 25%

AI match preview

Charlton hold a 43% chance of securing a home win against Portsmouth, with the model favoring a narrow 1-0 victory based on expected goals of 1.29 to 0.60. The probabilities suggest a low-scoring affair, with only a 29% chance of over 2.5 goals and 34% likelihood both teams will score. These projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.29 – 0.60

Most likely score

1-0

18% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 29%

Under 71%

Both teams to score

Yes 34%

No 66%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 46+ matches)

CharltonPortsmouth
4.1 Corners 5.6
2.1 Cards 2.2
12.0 Fouls 11.1

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Charlton 1–3 Portsmouth
Dec 2025 Portsmouth 2–1 Charlton