Stoke vs Leicester Prediction

Championship 25/26 · Sat 21 Feb, 12:30
Stoke
22 Full time
Leicester
Stoke 2–2 Leicester

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (43%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 43%
Draw 27%
Away 29%

💡 Stoke have a slight edge — leaning Stoke, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 47.4/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 47.4
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1488 v 1443 Stoke rated higher
Form Index LDLDL v DLLLL Stoke 0.4 · Leicester 0.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Stoke v Leicester

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Why we predict this

  • Stoke is the stronger side on Power Rating (1488 vs 1443).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Stoke
Form Index
Stoke
Goal expectation
Stoke
Home advantage
Stoke

Green = favours Stoke · Blue = favours Leicester. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
StokeLDLDL0.4 ppg
LeicesterDLLLL0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Stoke1488
Leicester1443
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model48% · 28% · 24%
Power Rating54% · 17% · 29%
Machine-learning36% · 32% · 31%

AI match preview

Stoke hosts Leicester in a Championship clash where the model slightly favors a home win at 43%, though a draw or away victory remain well within reach. Expected goals suggest a competitive match with Stoke edging 1.57 to Leicester's 1.06, while the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw. With a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and 53% probability for both teams to score, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.57 – 1.06

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 49%

Under 51%

Both teams to score

Yes 53%

No 47%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 130+ matches)

StokeLeicester
5.4 Corners 4.9
2.2 Cards 2.0
11.6 Fouls 10.7

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Stoke 2–2 Leicester
Nov 2025 Leicester 2–1 Stoke