Swansea vs Bristol City Prediction

Championship 25/26 · Sat 21 Feb, 12:30
Swansea
10 Full time
Bristol City
Swansea 1–0 Bristol City

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (44%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 44%
Draw 27%
Away 29%

💡 Swansea have a slight edge — leaning Swansea, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 48.2/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 48.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1493 v 1502 Bristol City rated higher
Form Index WLWWL v LWLWD Swansea 1.8 · Bristol City 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1493 vs 1502).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Bristol City
Form Index
Swansea
Goal expectation
Swansea
Home advantage
Swansea

Green = favours Swansea · Blue = favours Bristol City. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SwanseaWLWWL1.8 ppg
Bristol CityLWLWD1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Swansea1493
Bristol City1502
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model39% · 31% · 31%
Power Rating45% · 22% · 33%
Machine-learning39% · 28% · 33%

AI match preview

Swansea host Bristol City in a closely matched Championship clash where the model gives the home side a 44% chance of victory, slightly edging out a draw or an away win. With expected goals at 1.32 for Swansea and 1.14 for Bristol City, a 1-1 draw emerges as the most probable scoreline, reflecting a tight contest. Fans can anticipate a moderately open game with a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance both teams will score; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.32 – 1.14

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 44%

Under 56%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%

No 49%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 138+ matches)

SwanseaBristol City
4.9 Corners 5.2
1.9 Cards 1.7
10.2 Fouls 9.8

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Swansea 1–0 Bristol City
Nov 2025 Bristol City 3–0 Swansea