Millwall vs Portsmouth Prediction

Championship 25/26 · Sat 21 Feb, 15:00
Millwall
13 Full time
Portsmouth
Millwall 1–3 Portsmouth

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (53%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 53%
Draw 25%
Away 22%

💡 Millwall are favourites — about 53 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 60.7/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 60.7
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1562 v 1469 Millwall rated higher
Form Index LWDWW v DWLLW Millwall 2.0 · Portsmouth 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Millwall v Portsmouth

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Why we predict this

  • Millwall is the stronger side on Power Rating (1562 vs 1469).
  • Millwall is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Millwall
Form Index
Millwall
Goal expectation
Millwall
Home advantage
Millwall

Green = favours Millwall · Blue = favours Portsmouth. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MillwallLWDWW2.0 ppg
PortsmouthDWLLW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Millwall1562
Portsmouth1469
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model53% · 28% · 18%
Power Rating62% · 13% · 25%
Machine-learning50% · 27% · 23%

AI match preview

Millwall are slight favorites at 53% to secure a home win against Portsmouth, with the model projecting 1.56 expected goals to Portsmouth's 0.82. Despite the home edge, the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, reflecting a competitive match with a 46% chance both teams will score. Over 2.5 goals is less probable at 43%, indicating a moderately tight game; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.56 – 0.82

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 43%

Under 57%

Both teams to score

Yes 46%

No 54%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 92+ matches)

MillwallPortsmouth
5.0 Corners 5.6
1.9 Cards 2.2
12.9 Fouls 11.1

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Millwall 1–3 Portsmouth
Nov 2025 Portsmouth 3–1 Millwall