Middlesbrough vs Leicester Prediction

Championship 25/26 · Tue 24 Feb, 19:45
Middlesbrough
11 Full time
Leicester
Middlesbrough 1–1 Leicester

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (60%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 60%
Draw 21%
Away 19%

💡 Middlesbrough are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 70.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 70.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1583 v 1447 Middlesbrough rated higher
Form Index WWWLD v LLLLD Middlesbrough 2.0 · Leicester 0.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Middlesbrough is the stronger side on Power Rating (1583 vs 1447).
  • Middlesbrough is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Middlesbrough
Form Index
Middlesbrough
Goal expectation
Middlesbrough
Home advantage
Middlesbrough

Green = favours Middlesbrough · Blue = favours Leicester. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MiddlesbroughWWWLD2.0 ppg
LeicesterLLLLD0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Middlesbrough1583
Leicester1447
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model61% · 25% · 15%
Power Rating67% · 12% · 21%
Machine-learning41% · 28% · 31%

AI match preview

Middlesbrough are favored to edge Leicester with a 60% chance of a home win, supported by an expected goals tally of 1.88 to 0.85. Despite the home advantage, the most probable scoreline is a balanced 1-1 draw, reflecting a competitive encounter. With roughly even probabilities for over 2.5 goals (51%) and both teams scoring (50%), this match could offer moments of attacking promise; remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.88 – 0.85

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 51%

Under 49%

Both teams to score

Yes 50%

No 50%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 130+ matches)

MiddlesbroughLeicester
6.0 Corners 4.9
1.6 Cards 2.0
9.8 Fouls 10.7

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Middlesbrough 1–1 Leicester
Nov 2025 Leicester 1–1 Middlesbrough