Southampton vs QPR Prediction

Championship 25/26 · Tue 24 Feb, 20:00
Southampton
50 Full time
QPR
Southampton 5–0 QPR

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (52%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 52%
Draw 25%
Away 23%

💡 Southampton are favourites — about 52 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 59.2/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 59.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1531 v 1502 Southampton rated higher
Form Index DWWWD v LWDLW Southampton 2.2 · QPR 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1531 vs 1502).
  • Southampton is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Southampton
Form Index
Southampton
Goal expectation
Southampton
Home advantage
Southampton

Green = favours Southampton · Blue = favours QPR. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SouthamptonDWWWD2.2 ppg
QPRLWDLW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Southampton1531
QPR1502
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model47% · 32% · 21%
Power Rating51% · 19% · 30%
Machine-learning47% · 26% · 27%

AI match preview

Southampton holds a slight edge with a 52% chance to claim victory against QPR, while a draw is projected at 25%, reflecting a closely contested Championship clash. The expected goals suggest a modest scoring game, with Southampton favored to net 1.30 goals to QPR’s 0.79, making a 1-1 result the most likely outcome despite the home win prediction. With only a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score, this match may lean towards a tight, low-scoring affair; remember, these projections are based on statistical models and gambling should be done responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.30 – 0.79

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 35%

Under 65%

Both teams to score

Yes 41%

No 59%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 130+ matches)

SouthamptonQPR
5.8 Corners 5.1
2.1 Cards 2.0
10.7 Fouls 11.3

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Stadium & conditions

St Mary's Stadium Southampton, England Capacity 32,384 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Southampton 5–0 QPR
Nov 2025 QPR 1–2 Southampton