Derby vs Blackburn Prediction

Championship 25/26 · Sat 28 Feb, 12:30
Derby
31 Full time
Blackburn
Derby 3–1 Blackburn

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (47%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 47%
Draw 27%
Away 26%

💡 Derby are favourites — about 47 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 52.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 52.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1515 v 1450 Derby rated higher
Form Index WLWLL v WLWWL Derby 1.2 · Blackburn 1.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Derby v Blackburn

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Why we predict this

  • Derby is the stronger side on Power Rating (1515 vs 1450).
  • Blackburn is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Derby
Form Index
Blackburn
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Derby

Green = favours Derby · Blue = favours Blackburn. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
DerbyWLWLL1.2 ppg
BlackburnWLWWL1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Derby1515
Blackburn1450
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model34% · 33% · 33%
Power Rating57% · 15% · 27%
Machine-learning54% · 28% · 17%

AI match preview

Derby and Blackburn are set for a tightly contested Championship clash, with the model giving a slight edge to Derby at 47% to win, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 27%. Both teams are expected to produce similar attacking output, with projected goals just above one each, making a 1-1 draw the most probable scoreline. With under 2.5 goals favored and both teams scoring less than a 50% chance, this match could hinge on fine margins—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.10 – 1.08

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 37%

Under 63%

Both teams to score

Yes 46%

No 54%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Pride Park Stadium Derby, England Capacity 32,956 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Derby 3–1 Blackburn
Nov 2025 Blackburn 1–2 Derby