Charlton vs Birmingham Prediction

Championship 25/26 · Sat 7 Mar, 15:00
Charlton
10 Full time
Birmingham
Charlton 1–0 Birmingham

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (38%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 33%
Draw 29%
Away 38%

💡 Birmingham have a slight edge — leaning Birmingham, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 39.5/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 39.5
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1452 v 1499 Birmingham rated higher
Form Index WLDDL v WDWLL Charlton 1.0 · Birmingham 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 0%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Birmingham is the stronger side on Power Rating (1499 vs 1452).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Birmingham
Form Index
Birmingham
Goal expectation
Charlton
Home advantage
Charlton

Green = favours Charlton · Blue = favours Birmingham. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
CharltonWLDDL1.0 ppg
BirminghamWDWLL1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Charlton1452
Birmingham1499
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model43% · 34% · 23%
Power Rating39% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning42% · 29% · 29%

AI match preview

Charlton hosts Birmingham in a tightly poised Championship clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 38%, though a draw remains a close possibility. Expected goals lean towards a low-scoring affair with 1.17 for Charlton and 0.79 for Birmingham, and the most likely scoreline predicted is 0-0. With under 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams to score at just 39%, this game could hinge on a single moment; all projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.17 – 0.79

Most likely score

0-0

16% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 31%

Under 69%

Both teams to score

Yes 39%

No 61%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Charlton 1–0 Birmingham
Dec 2025 Birmingham 1–1 Charlton