Middlesbrough vs Charlton Prediction

Championship 25/26 · Wed 11 Mar, 19:45
Middlesbrough
01 Full time
Charlton
Middlesbrough 0–1 Charlton

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (68%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 68%
Draw 19%
Away 13%

💡 Middlesbrough are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 81.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 81.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1611 v 1463 Middlesbrough rated higher
Form Index LDDWW v LDDLW Middlesbrough 1.6 · Charlton 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Middlesbrough v Charlton

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Why we predict this

  • Middlesbrough is the stronger side on Power Rating (1611 vs 1463).
  • Middlesbrough is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Middlesbrough
Form Index
Middlesbrough
Goal expectation
Middlesbrough
Home advantage
Middlesbrough

Green = favours Middlesbrough · Blue = favours Charlton. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MiddlesbroughLDDWW1.6 ppg
CharltonLDDLW1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Middlesbrough1611
Charlton1463
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model60% · 28% · 13%
Power Rating68% · 12% · 20%
Machine-learning57% · 27% · 17%

AI match preview

Middlesbrough enter this Championship clash with a strong statistical edge, holding a 68% probability of securing a home win against Charlton, who are projected to score less than a goal on average. The model suggests a tight contest, with a 1-0 scoreline the most likely outcome and only a 37% chance of seeing over 2.5 goals or both teams scoring. While Middlesbrough are favored, the inherent unpredictability of football means outcomes can vary; please enjoy responsibly and remember to gamble only if you're 18 or older.

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.57 – 0.60

Most likely score

1-0

17% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 37%

Under 63%

Both teams to score

Yes 37%

No 63%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Middlesbrough 0–1 Charlton
Dec 2025 Charlton 1–2 Middlesbrough