Oxford vs Charlton Prediction

Championship 25/26 · Sat 14 Mar, 12:30
Oxford
11 Full time
Charlton
Oxford 1–1 Charlton

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (41%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 41%
Draw 29%
Away 30%

💡 Oxford have a slight edge — leaning Oxford, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 44.1/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 44.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1449 v 1480 Charlton rated higher
Form Index DLWWW v DDLWW Oxford 2.0 · Charlton 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Oxford v Charlton

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1449 vs 1480).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Charlton
Form Index
Oxford
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Oxford

Green = favours Oxford · Blue = favours Charlton. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
OxfordDLWWW2.0 ppg
CharltonDDLWW1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Oxford1449
Charlton1480
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model32% · 35% · 34%
Power Rating42% · 24% · 34%
Machine-learning45% · 26% · 29%

AI match preview

Oxford hold a slight edge with a 41% probability of securing a home win against Charlton, though the model also suggests a significant chance of a draw at 29%. Both sides are projected to produce a tight contest with expected goals hovering around one apiece, making a goalless draw the most likely scoreline. With only a 31% chance of over 2.5 goals and 40% probability of both teams scoring, this match could be a cautious affair; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.95 – 0.99

Most likely score

0-0

16% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 31%

Under 69%

Both teams to score

Yes 40%

No 60%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Oxford 1–1 Charlton
Dec 2025 Charlton 1–0 Oxford