Charlton vs Bristol City Prediction

Championship 25/26 · Fri 3 Apr, 16:00
Charlton
12 Full time
Bristol City
Charlton 1–2 Bristol City

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (38%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 38%
Draw 28%
Away 33%

💡 Charlton have a slight edge — leaning Charlton, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 39.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 39.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1469 v 1454 Charlton rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 0.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Charlton v Bristol City

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1469 vs 1454).
  • Charlton is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Charlton
Form Index
Charlton
Goal expectation
Bristol City
Home advantage
Charlton

Green = favours Charlton · Blue = favours Bristol City. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
CharltonLWWDL1.4 ppg
Bristol CityLLLDL0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Charlton1469
Bristol City1454
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model30% · 36% · 34%
Power Rating49% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning31% · 27% · 42%

AI match preview

Charlton and Bristol City are set for a tight Championship clash, with the model slightly favoring a Charlton home win at 38%, though a draw or away victory remain well within reach. Expected goals are low and close, at 0.90 for Charlton and 0.96 for Bristol City, suggesting a defensive battle with a 0-0 scoreline as the most probable outcome. With just a 28% chance of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score, this match may hinge on a single moment of quality—remember, these projections are statistical estimates; please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.90 – 0.96

Most likely score

0-0

17% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 28%

Under 72%

Both teams to score

Yes 38%

No 62%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Charlton 1–2 Bristol City
Aug 2025 Bristol City 0–0 Charlton