Swansea vs Middlesbrough Prediction

Championship 25/26 · Mon 6 Apr, 18:30
Swansea
22 Full time
Middlesbrough
Swansea 2–2 Middlesbrough

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (44%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 30%
Draw 26%
Away 44%

💡 Middlesbrough have a slight edge — leaning Middlesbrough, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 48.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 48.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1490 v 1573 Middlesbrough rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 1.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Swansea v Middlesbrough

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Why we predict this

  • Middlesbrough is the stronger side on Power Rating (1573 vs 1490).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Middlesbrough
Form Index
Swansea
Goal expectation
Middlesbrough
Home advantage
Swansea

Green = favours Swansea · Blue = favours Middlesbrough. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SwanseaWWLLD1.4 ppg
MiddlesbroughWLDDL1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Swansea1490
Middlesbrough1573
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model30% · 29% · 41%
Power Rating35% · 25% · 39%
Machine-learning37% · 26% · 37%

AI match preview

Swansea hosts Middlesbrough in a Championship clash where the away side holds a 44% chance of victory, slightly edging out a home win at 30%, with draws at 26%. The model projects a tight encounter with expected goals favoring Middlesbrough (1.44) over Swansea (1.19) and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. With a 55% probability for both teams to score and nearly even odds on over 2.5 goals, this match could offer balanced attacking action; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.19 – 1.44

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 49%

Under 51%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Swansea 2–2 Middlesbrough
Aug 2025 Middlesbrough 1–0 Swansea