Portsmouth vs Leicester Prediction

Championship 25/26 · Sat 18 Apr, 13:30
Portsmouth
10 Full time
Leicester
Portsmouth 1–0 Leicester

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (42%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 42%
Draw 27%
Away 31%

💡 Portsmouth have a slight edge — leaning Portsmouth, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 45.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 45.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1477 v 1425 Portsmouth rated higher
Form Index 1.6 v 0.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Portsmouth v Leicester

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Why we predict this

  • Portsmouth is the stronger side on Power Rating (1477 vs 1425).
  • Portsmouth is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Portsmouth
Form Index
Portsmouth
Goal expectation
Portsmouth
Home advantage
Portsmouth

Green = favours Portsmouth · Blue = favours Leicester. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
PortsmouthLDDWW1.6 ppg
LeicesterLDDDL0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Portsmouth1477
Leicester1425
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model38% · 31% · 31%
Power Rating55% · 17% · 28%
Machine-learning33% · 29% · 39%

AI match preview

Portsmouth and Leicester are set for a closely contested Championship clash, with the model giving the home side a slight 42% edge to win, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 27%. The expected goals suggest a tight match, around 1.27 for Portsmouth and 1.11 for Leicester, aligning with the most likely 1-1 scoreline. With only a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% probability of both teams scoring, this game could hinge on fine margins—remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.27 – 1.11

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 42%

Under 58%

Both teams to score

Yes 50%

No 50%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Portsmouth 1–0 Leicester
Oct 2025 Leicester 1–1 Portsmouth