Wrexham vs Stoke Prediction

Championship 25/26 · Sat 18 Apr, 16:00
Wrexham
20 Full time
Stoke
Wrexham 2–0 Stoke

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (51%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 51%
Draw 25%
Away 24%

💡 Wrexham are favourites — about 51 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 59.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 59.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1521 v 1467 Wrexham rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 1.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Wrexham is the stronger side on Power Rating (1521 vs 1467).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Wrexham
Form Index
Stoke
Goal expectation
Wrexham
Home advantage
Wrexham

Green = favours Wrexham · Blue = favours Stoke. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
WrexhamLWDLL0.8 ppg
StokeWLWLD1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Wrexham1521
Stoke1467
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model43% · 29% · 28%
Power Rating56% · 16% · 28%
Machine-learning53% · 28% · 19%

AI match preview

Wrexham holds a slight edge at 51% to claim victory against Stoke in this Championship clash, with the model projecting a tight contest and a 1-1 draw as the most probable scoreline. Both teams are expected to find the net, reflected in a 54% chance for BTTS, while the likelihood of over 2.5 goals sits just below even at 49%. These projections highlight a balanced matchup where Wrexham's home advantage could be key, but all outcomes remain plausible—remember to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.46 – 1.16

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 49%

Under 51%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Wrexham 2–0 Stoke
Oct 2025 Stoke 1–0 Wrexham