Oxford vs Wrexham Prediction

Championship 25/26 · Tue 21 Apr, 20:45
Oxford
01 Full time
Wrexham
Oxford 0–1 Wrexham

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (29%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 36%
Draw 29%
Away 35%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 36.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 36.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1452 v 1532 Wrexham rated higher
Form Index 1 v 1.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 0%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Wrexham is the stronger side on Power Rating (1532 vs 1452).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Wrexham
Form Index
Wrexham
Goal expectation
Wrexham
Home advantage
Oxford

Green = favours Oxford · Blue = favours Wrexham. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
OxfordLDDWL1 ppg
WrexhamWDLLW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Oxford1452
Wrexham1532
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model25% · 33% · 43%
Power Rating36% · 26% · 39%
Machine-learning34% · 30% · 36%

AI match preview

Oxford and Wrexham are set for a closely contested Championship clash, with the model slightly favoring a draw at 29% probability and a balanced 36% confidence level. Expected goals suggest a tight match, projecting 0.88 for Oxford and 1.23 for Wrexham, aligning with the most likely scoreline of 1-1. While over 2.5 goals and both teams to score have moderate probabilities at 35% and 43% respectively, this match could hinge on narrow margins—remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.88 – 1.23

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 35%

Under 65%

Both teams to score

Yes 43%

No 57%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Oxford 0–1 Wrexham
Oct 2025 Wrexham 1–0 Oxford