Southampton vs Ipswich Prediction

Championship 25/26 · Tue 28 Apr, 20:45
Southampton
22 Full time
Ipswich
Southampton 2–2 Ipswich

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (45%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 45%
Draw 25%
Away 29%

💡 Southampton are favourites — about 45 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 50.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 50.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1626 v 1615 Southampton rated higher
Form Index 2.6 v 1.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Southampton v Ipswich

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1626 vs 1615).
  • Southampton is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 1.6 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Southampton
Form Index
Southampton
Goal expectation
Southampton
Home advantage
Southampton

Green = favours Southampton · Blue = favours Ipswich. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SouthamptonWWWWD2.6 ppg
IpswichWLDWD1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Southampton1626
Ipswich1615
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model45% · 29% · 25%
Power Rating49% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning46% · 25% · 30%

AI match preview

Southampton host Ipswich in a Championship clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 45% chance of winning, though a draw or away victory remain plausible outcomes. The model predicts a tight contest with an expected scoreline around 1-1, reflecting closely matched attacking potential. With just over half the simulations indicating both teams will score and under a 50% chance for over 2.5 goals, fans should anticipate a competitive, finely balanced encounter; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.06

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 47%

Under 53%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

St Mary's Stadium Southampton, England Capacity 32,384 · grass
Clear · 14°C
Feels like 9.1°C Wind 18 km/h Rain chance 0%

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Southampton 2–2 Ipswich
Aug 2025 Ipswich 1–1 Southampton