Wrexham vs Middlesbrough Prediction

Championship 25/26 · Sat 2 May, 13:30
Wrexham
22 Full time
Middlesbrough
Wrexham 2–2 Middlesbrough

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (41%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 34%
Draw 25%
Away 41%

💡 Middlesbrough have a slight edge — leaning Middlesbrough, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 42.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 42.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1533 v 1573 Middlesbrough rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 1.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1533 vs 1573).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Middlesbrough
Form Index
Middlesbrough
Goal expectation
Middlesbrough
Home advantage
Wrexham

Green = favours Wrexham · Blue = favours Middlesbrough. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
WrexhamLLWWL1.2 ppg
MiddlesbroughDLDWW1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Wrexham1533
Middlesbrough1573
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model28% · 24% · 48%
Power Rating40% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning42% · 28% · 30%

AI match preview

Wrexham host Middlesbrough in a Championship clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 41%, though a home victory or draw remain plausible with probabilities of 34% and 25% respectively. The expected goals suggest an open game with 1.54 for Wrexham and 2.04 for Middlesbrough, and a 1-1 draw is the most likely scoreline. With a 69% chance for both over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, fans can anticipate an engaging encounter; remember these projections are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.54 – 2.04

Most likely score

1-1

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 69%

Under 31%

Both teams to score

Yes 69%

No 31%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Wrexham 2–2 Middlesbrough
Oct 2025 Middlesbrough 1–1 Wrexham