Lorient vs Rennes Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Fri 27 Jan, 20:00
Lorient
21 Full time
Rennes
Lorient 2–1 Rennes

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (43%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 28%
Draw 29%
Away 43%

💡 Rennes have a slight edge — leaning Rennes, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 46.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 46.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1516 v 1575 Rennes rated higher
Form Index DLWDL v WLWLW Lorient 1.0 · Rennes 1.8 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lorient v Rennes

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Why we predict this

  • Rennes is the stronger side on Power Rating (1575 vs 1516).
  • Rennes is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Rennes
Form Index
Rennes
Goal expectation
Lorient
Home advantage
Lorient

Green = favours Lorient · Blue = favours Rennes. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LorientDLWDL1.0 ppg
RennesWLWLW1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Lorient1516
Rennes1575
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model38% · 28% · 34%
Power Rating37% · 26% · 36%
Machine-learning21% · 35% · 44%

AI match preview

Lorient host Rennes in a Ligue 1 clash where the away side holds a 43% chance of victory, slightly favored over a home win at 28% and a 29% likelihood of a draw. The expected goals are close, with Lorient at 1.48 and Rennes at 1.38, suggesting a competitive match that could well end 1-1. With a 55% probability for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, fans can anticipate an engaging encounter, though these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.38

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 55%

Under 45%

Both teams to score

Yes 59%

No 41%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2023 Lorient 2–1 Rennes
Aug 2022 Rennes 0–1 Lorient