Troyes vs Lens Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sat 28 Jan, 16:00
Troyes
11 Full time
Lens
Troyes 1–1 Lens

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (55%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 17%
Draw 28%
Away 55%

💡 Lens are favourites — about 55 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 62.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 62.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1451 v 1618 Lens rated higher
Form Index LDWLL v WDWDW Troyes 0.8 · Lens 2.2 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Troyes v Lens

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Why we predict this

  • Lens is the stronger side on Power Rating (1618 vs 1451).
  • Lens is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.2 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lens
Form Index
Lens
Goal expectation
Lens
Home advantage
Troyes

Green = favours Troyes · Blue = favours Lens. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
TroyesLDWLL0.8 ppg
LensWDWDW2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Troyes1451
Lens1618
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model20% · 34% · 47%
Power Rating29% · 18% · 53%
Machine-learning4% · 50% · 45%

AI match preview

Troyes face a challenging outing at home against Lens, with the model assigning just a 17% chance of a home win and favoring an away victory at 55%. Despite Lens being the statistical favorite, the most likely scoreline is a cautious 0-0, reflecting modest expected goals of 0.69 for Troyes and 1.21 for Lens. Given the low probabilities for over 2.5 goals (30%) and both teams scoring (37%), this match could be a tight affair; remember these projections are based on data and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.69 – 1.21

Most likely score

0-0

17% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 30%

Under 70%

Both teams to score

Yes 37%

No 63%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2023 Troyes 1–1 Lens
Sept 2022 Lens 1–0 Troyes