Nice vs Lille Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sun 29 Jan, 12:00
Nice
10 Full time
Lille
Nice 1–0 Lille

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (40%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 32%
Draw 28%
Away 40%

💡 Lille have a slight edge — leaning Lille, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 43.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 43.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1510 v 1566 Lille rated higher
Form Index DDLWD v WWDDW Nice 1.2 · Lille 2.2 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Nice v Lille

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Why we predict this

  • Lille is the stronger side on Power Rating (1566 vs 1510).
  • Lille is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lille
Form Index
Lille
Goal expectation
Lille
Home advantage
Nice

Green = favours Nice · Blue = favours Lille. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NiceDDLWD1.2 ppg
LilleWWDDW2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Nice1510
Lille1566
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model26% · 32% · 43%
Power Rating38% · 26% · 36%
Machine-learning35% · 20% · 45%

AI match preview

Nice and Lille face off in a closely contested Ligue 1 clash where the model slightly favors an away win for Lille with a 40% probability, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 28%. Expected goals suggest a tight match with 0.94 for Nice and 1.28 for Lille, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline. With only a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance both teams score, this encounter could be a cautious battle—remember, these projections are statistical estimates and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.94 – 1.28

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 38%

Under 62%

Both teams to score

Yes 46%

No 54%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2023 Nice 1–0 Lille
Aug 2022 Lille 1–2 Nice