Strasbourg vs Toulouse Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sun 29 Jan, 14:00
Strasbourg
12 Full time
Toulouse
Strasbourg 1–2 Toulouse

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (38%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 38%
Draw 27%
Away 36%

💡 Strasbourg have a slight edge — leaning Strasbourg, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 38.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 38.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1440 v 1481 Toulouse rated higher
Form Index DLLDW v LLWWD Strasbourg 1.0 · Toulouse 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Strasbourg v Toulouse

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Why we predict this

  • Toulouse is the stronger side on Power Rating (1481 vs 1440).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Toulouse
Form Index
Toulouse
Goal expectation
Toulouse
Home advantage
Strasbourg

Green = favours Strasbourg · Blue = favours Toulouse. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
StrasbourgDLLDW1.0 ppg
ToulouseLLWWD1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Strasbourg1440
Toulouse1481
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model33% · 25% · 42%
Power Rating40% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning33% · 25% · 41%

AI match preview

Strasbourg and Toulouse are set for a closely contested Ligue 1 clash, with the model giving a slight edge to Strasbourg at 38% compared to Toulouse’s 36%, while a draw sits at 27%. The expected goals suggest a tight match with 1.55 for Strasbourg and 1.76 for Toulouse, pointing towards a most likely 1-1 scoreline. With a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, this encounter promises attacking intent; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.55 – 1.76

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 64%

Under 36%

Both teams to score

Yes 67%

No 33%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2023 Strasbourg 1–2 Toulouse
Oct 2022 Toulouse 2–2 Strasbourg