Ajaccio vs Lyon Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sun 29 Jan, 16:05
Ajaccio
02 Full time
Lyon
Ajaccio 0–2 Lyon

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (50%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 23%
Draw 27%
Away 50%

💡 Lyon are favourites — about 50 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 56.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 56.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1412 v 1492 Lyon rated higher
Form Index DWLLL v DWLDL Ajaccio 0.8 · Lyon 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Lyon is the stronger side on Power Rating (1492 vs 1412).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lyon
Form Index
Lyon
Goal expectation
Lyon
Home advantage
Ajaccio

Green = favours Ajaccio · Blue = favours Lyon. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AjaccioDWLLL0.8 ppg
LyonDWLDL1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Ajaccio1412
Lyon1492
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model25% · 31% · 45%
Power Rating36% · 26% · 39%
Machine-learning18% · 23% · 59%

AI match preview

Ajaccio host Lyon in a Ligue 1 clash where the visitors hold a 50% chance of victory according to model projections, though a draw remains a plausible 27% outcome. Expected goals suggest a tight contest with Lyon slightly favored to edge the scoring at 1.38 to 0.97, yet the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 stalemate. With under 2.5 goals and both teams not necessarily scoring in just over half the simulations, this match could be closely contested—remember, these are statistical probabilities and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.97 – 1.38

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 42%

Under 58%

Both teams to score

Yes 48%

No 52%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2023 Ajaccio 0–2 Lyon
Aug 2022 Lyon 2–1 Ajaccio