Nantes vs Marseille Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Wed 1 Feb, 18:00
Nantes
02 Full time
Marseille
Nantes 0–2 Marseille

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (54%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 21%
Draw 25%
Away 54%

💡 Marseille are favourites — about 54 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 63.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 63.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1493 v 1614 Marseille rated higher
Form Index DWDWD v WWWWD Nantes 1.8 · Marseille 2.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Marseille is the stronger side on Power Rating (1614 vs 1493).
  • Marseille is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 1.8 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Marseille
Form Index
Marseille
Goal expectation
Marseille
Home advantage
Nantes

Green = favours Nantes · Blue = favours Marseille. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NantesDWDWD1.8 ppg
MarseilleWWWWD2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Nantes1493
Marseille1614
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model21% · 30% · 50%
Power Rating33% · 22% · 45%
Machine-learning15% · 19% · 66%

AI match preview

Nantes host Marseille in a Ligue 1 clash where the model favors an away win at 54% confidence, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 25%. Expected goals suggest a moderately contested match, with a likely scoreline around 1-1 despite Marseille’s edge. With both teams scoring in under half the scenarios and a less than 50% chance of over 2.5 goals, this game may see tight margins; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.86 – 1.47

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 41%

Under 59%

Both teams to score

Yes 46%

No 54%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Nantes 0–2 Marseille
Aug 2022 Marseille 2–1 Nantes