Toulouse vs Troyes Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Wed 1 Feb, 18:00
Toulouse
41 Full time
Troyes
Toulouse 4–1 Troyes

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (56%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 56%
Draw 20%
Away 24%

💡 Toulouse are favourites — about 56 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 64.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 64.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1492 v 1454 Toulouse rated higher
Form Index LWWDW v DWLLD Toulouse 2.0 · Troyes 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Toulouse v Troyes

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1492 vs 1454).
  • Toulouse is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Toulouse
Form Index
Toulouse
Goal expectation
Toulouse
Home advantage
Toulouse

Green = favours Toulouse · Blue = favours Troyes. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ToulouseLWWDW2.0 ppg
TroyesDWLLD1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Toulouse1492
Troyes1454
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model50% · 20% · 30%
Power Rating53% · 18% · 29%
Machine-learning57% · 14% · 29%

AI match preview

Toulouse holds a 56% probability of securing a home win against Troyes, with an expected goals tally favoring the hosts at 2.54 to 1.98. The model suggests a competitive encounter, most likely ending 2-1, supported by an 83% chance of over 2.5 goals and an 80% likelihood of both teams scoring. These projections provide insight into the match dynamics, but remember they are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.54 – 1.98

Most likely score

2-1

7% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 83%

Under 17%

Both teams to score

Yes 80%

No 20%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Toulouse 4–1 Troyes
Aug 2022 Troyes 0–3 Toulouse