Monaco vs Auxerre Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Wed 1 Feb, 20:00
Monaco
32 Full time
Auxerre
Monaco 3–2 Auxerre

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (75%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 75%
Draw 15%
Away 10%

💡 Monaco are strong favourites — roughly 8 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 92.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 92.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1578 v 1371 Monaco rated higher
Form Index WWDWD v LLLLL Monaco 2.2 · Auxerre 0.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Monaco v Auxerre

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Monaco is the stronger side on Power Rating (1578 vs 1371).
  • Monaco is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 0.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (3.1 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Monaco
Form Index
Monaco
Goal expectation
Monaco
Home advantage
Monaco

Green = favours Monaco · Blue = favours Auxerre. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MonacoWWDWD2.2 ppg
AuxerreLLLLL0.0 ppg
Power Rating
Monaco1578
Auxerre1371
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model79% · 14% · 8%
Power Rating73% · 12% · 15%
Machine-learning87% · 8% · 4%

AI match preview

Monaco enters this Ligue 1 clash with a strong 75% probability of securing a home win against Auxerre, backed by an expected goals advantage of 3.08 to 0.96. The model suggests a 3-0 scoreline as the most likely outcome, with a 77% chance of the match producing over 2.5 goals and a 60% probability of both teams scoring. These projections are statistical estimates and should be used responsibly; please gamble only if you are 18 or older.

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

3.08 – 0.96

Most likely score

3-0

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 77%

Under 23%

Both teams to score

Yes 60%

No 40%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Stadium & conditions

Stade Louis II Monaco, France Capacity 18,523 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Monaco 3–2 Auxerre
Dec 2022 Auxerre 2–3 Monaco