Paris SG vs Toulouse Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sat 4 Feb, 16:00
Paris SG
21 Full time
Toulouse
Paris SG 2–1 Toulouse

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (70%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 70%
Draw 17%
Away 13%

💡 Paris SG are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 84.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 84.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1646 v 1506 Paris SG rated higher
Form Index LWLDW v WWDWW Paris SG 1.4 · Toulouse 2.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Paris SG v Toulouse

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Paris SG is the stronger side on Power Rating (1646 vs 1506).
  • Toulouse is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Paris SG
Form Index
Toulouse
Goal expectation
Paris SG
Home advantage
Paris SG

Green = favours Paris SG · Blue = favours Toulouse. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Paris SGLWLDW1.4 ppg
ToulouseWWDWW2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Paris SG1646
Toulouse1506
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model72% · 17% · 11%
Power Rating67% · 12% · 21%
Machine-learning75% · 20% · 6%

AI match preview

Paris SG are strong favorites to claim victory against Toulouse, with a 70% probability of a home win and an expected 2.75 goals scored to Toulouse’s 1.08. The model suggests a competitive encounter, most likely finishing 2-1, with a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% likelihood that both teams will score. These projections highlight probable outcomes based on statistics, so please gamble responsibly and only if you’re 18 or older.

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.75 – 1.08

Most likely score

2-1

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 73%

Under 27%

Both teams to score

Yes 63%

No 37%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Paris SG 2–1 Toulouse
Aug 2022 Toulouse 0–3 Paris SG