Troyes vs Lyon Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sat 4 Feb, 18:00
Troyes
13 Full time
Lyon
Troyes 1–3 Lyon

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (50%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 23%
Draw 28%
Away 50%

💡 Lyon are favourites — about 50 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 55.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 55.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1440 v 1504 Lyon rated higher
Form Index WLLDL v LDLWD Troyes 0.8 · Lyon 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Lyon is the stronger side on Power Rating (1504 vs 1440).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lyon
Form Index
Lyon
Goal expectation
Lyon
Home advantage
Troyes

Green = favours Troyes · Blue = favours Lyon. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
TroyesWLLDL0.8 ppg
LyonLDLWD1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Troyes1440
Lyon1504
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model30% · 30% · 40%
Power Rating37% · 27% · 36%
Machine-learning14% · 43% · 43%

AI match preview

Troyes host Lyon in a Ligue 1 clash where the visitors hold a 50% chance of victory, according to the model, though a draw at 28% remains a strong possibility. The expected goals suggest a tight contest, with a 1-1 scoreline the most probable outcome despite Lyon's slight edge. With both teams likely to find the net around half the time, this match could offer competitive action—remember, these projections are statistical estimates and betting should be done responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.12 – 1.34

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 44%

Under 56%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%

No 49%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Troyes 1–3 Lyon
Aug 2022 Lyon 4–1 Troyes