Ajaccio vs Nantes Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sun 5 Feb, 14:00
Ajaccio
02 Full time
Nantes
Ajaccio 0–2 Nantes

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (33%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 32%
Draw 33%
Away 35%

💡 Our model leans towards a draw (33%) — expect a tight one.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 36.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 36.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1408 v 1479 Nantes rated higher
Form Index LLLLW v WDWDL Ajaccio 0.6 · Nantes 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 0%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Ajaccio v Nantes

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Why we predict this

  • Nantes is the stronger side on Power Rating (1479 vs 1408).
  • Nantes is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Nantes
Form Index
Nantes
Goal expectation
Nantes
Home advantage
Ajaccio

Green = favours Ajaccio · Blue = favours Nantes. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AjaccioLLLLW0.6 ppg
NantesWDWDL1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Ajaccio1408
Nantes1479
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model26% · 35% · 39%
Power Rating36% · 27% · 37%
Machine-learning18% · 39% · 43%

AI match preview

Ajaccio and Nantes face off in a Ligue 1 clash where the model suggests a closely contested match, with a slight edge to Nantes at 35% probability, but a draw remains a strong possibility at 33%. The expected goals tally favors a low-scoring affair, around 0.81 for Ajaccio and 1.06 for Nantes, making a 0-0 outcome the most likely scoreline. With under 2.5 goals and both teams not scoring being the more probable scenarios, fans should anticipate a tight encounter; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.81 – 1.06

Most likely score

0-0

17% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 29%

Under 71%

Both teams to score

Yes 38%

No 62%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Ajaccio 0–2 Nantes
Nov 2022 Nantes 2–2 Ajaccio