Strasbourg vs Montpellier Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sun 5 Feb, 14:00
Strasbourg
20 Full time
Montpellier
Strasbourg 2–0 Montpellier

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (43%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 43%
Draw 25%
Away 32%

💡 Strasbourg have a slight edge — leaning Strasbourg, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 46.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 46.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1419 v 1427 Montpellier rated higher
Form Index LDWLL v LLLWL Strasbourg 0.8 · Montpellier 0.6 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Strasbourg v Montpellier

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1419 vs 1427).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.1 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Montpellier
Form Index
Strasbourg
Goal expectation
Montpellier
Home advantage
Strasbourg

Green = favours Strasbourg · Blue = favours Montpellier. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
StrasbourgLDWLL0.8 ppg
MontpellierLLLWL0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Strasbourg1419
Montpellier1427
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model28% · 23% · 49%
Power Rating45% · 22% · 33%
Machine-learning47% · 17% · 37%

AI match preview

Strasbourg hosts Montpellier in a Ligue 1 clash where the home side holds a slight advantage with a 43% probability of winning, though a draw at 25% and an away win at 32% remain plausible outcomes. The model predicts an open game with an expected goal tally favoring Montpellier slightly (2.13) over Strasbourg (1.62), and the most likely scoreline being a 1-1 draw. With a 72% chance for both over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, this match could see plenty of action, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.62 – 2.13

Most likely score

1-1

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 72%

Under 28%

Both teams to score

Yes 72%

No 28%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Strasbourg 2–0 Montpellier
Sept 2022 Montpellier 2–1 Strasbourg