Brest vs Lens Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sun 5 Feb, 16:05
Brest
11 Full time
Lens
Brest 1–1 Lens

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (54%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 20%
Draw 26%
Away 54%

💡 Lens are favourites — about 54 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 61.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 61.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1448 v 1599 Lens rated higher
Form Index LDDWD v WDWDL Brest 1.2 · Lens 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Brest v Lens

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Why we predict this

  • Lens is the stronger side on Power Rating (1599 vs 1448).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lens
Form Index
Lens
Goal expectation
Lens
Home advantage
Brest

Green = favours Brest · Blue = favours Lens. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BrestLDDWD1.2 ppg
LensWDWDL1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Brest1448
Lens1599
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model17% · 31% · 52%
Power Rating31% · 19% · 50%
Machine-learning8% · 29% · 64%

AI match preview

Brest hosts Lens in a Ligue 1 clash where the model favors an away win with a 54% probability and a confidence level of 61/100. Expected goals suggest Lens may edge the contest 1-0, with a relatively low chance of both teams scoring or the match exceeding 2.5 goals. These projections highlight a tight encounter, but as always, please remember these are statistical probabilities and gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.70 – 1.37

Most likely score

0-1

16% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 34%

Under 66%

Both teams to score

Yes 39%

No 61%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Brest 1–1 Lens
Aug 2022 Lens 3–2 Brest