Marseille vs Nice Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sun 5 Feb, 19:45
Marseille
13 Full time
Nice
Marseille 1–3 Nice

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (57%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 57%
Draw 24%
Away 19%

💡 Marseille are favourites — about 57 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 66.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 66.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1628 v 1537 Marseille rated higher
Form Index WWWDW v LWDWW Marseille 2.6 · Nice 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Marseille v Nice

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Why we predict this

  • Marseille is the stronger side on Power Rating (1628 vs 1537).
  • Marseille is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 2.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Marseille
Form Index
Marseille
Goal expectation
Marseille
Home advantage
Marseille

Green = favours Marseille · Blue = favours Nice. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MarseilleWWWDW2.6 ppg
NiceLWDWW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Marseille1628
Nice1537
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model47% · 32% · 21%
Power Rating62% · 13% · 25%
Machine-learning61% · 25% · 14%

AI match preview

Marseille enters this Ligue 1 clash with a 57% probability of securing a home win against Nice, who stand at 19%, while a draw is projected at 24%. The expected goals suggest a modest edge for Marseille at 1.32 compared to Nice's 0.80, yet the most likely scoreline is a balanced 1-1 draw. With only a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score, this matchup could lean towards a tight contest; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.32 – 0.80

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 35%

Under 65%

Both teams to score

Yes 42%

No 58%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Marseille 1–3 Nice
Aug 2022 Nice 0–3 Marseille