Toulouse vs Rennes Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sun 12 Feb, 12:00
Toulouse
31 Full time
Rennes
Toulouse 3–1 Rennes

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (39%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 34%
Draw 27%
Away 39%

💡 Rennes have a slight edge — leaning Rennes, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 41.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 41.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1501 v 1553 Rennes rated higher
Form Index WDWWL v LWLWL Toulouse 2.0 · Rennes 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Toulouse v Rennes

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Why we predict this

  • Rennes is the stronger side on Power Rating (1553 vs 1501).
  • Toulouse is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Rennes
Form Index
Toulouse
Goal expectation
Toulouse
Home advantage
Toulouse

Green = favours Toulouse · Blue = favours Rennes. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ToulouseWDWWL2.0 ppg
RennesLWLWL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Toulouse1501
Rennes1553
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model45% · 26% · 29%
Power Rating39% · 26% · 36%
Machine-learning21% · 25% · 54%

AI match preview

Toulouse and Rennes face off in a Ligue 1 clash where the model slightly favors an away win for Rennes at 39%, though a home victory or draw remain plausible outcomes. The expected goals suggest a competitive match with Toulouse edging 1.75 to Rennes' 1.37, and the most likely scoreline predicted as 1-1. With a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and 63% probability of both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.75 – 1.37

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 61%

Under 39%

Both teams to score

Yes 63%

No 37%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Toulouse 3–1 Rennes
Nov 2022 Rennes 2–1 Toulouse