Montpellier vs Brest Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sun 12 Feb, 14:00
Montpellier
30 Full time
Brest
Montpellier 3–0 Brest

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (31%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 36%
Draw 31%
Away 33%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 37.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 37.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1413 v 1450 Brest rated higher
Form Index LLWLL v DDWDD Montpellier 0.6 · Brest 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1413 vs 1450).
  • Brest is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Brest
Form Index
Brest
Goal expectation
Brest
Home advantage
Montpellier

Green = favours Montpellier · Blue = favours Brest. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MontpellierLLWLL0.6 ppg
BrestDDWDD1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Montpellier1413
Brest1450
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model31% · 28% · 41%
Power Rating41% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning23% · 46% · 31%

AI match preview

Montpellier and Brest are poised for a tightly contested Ligue 1 clash, with the model giving a slight edge to a draw at 31% probability and a predicted scoreline of 1-1. Both teams are expected to find the net, as indicated by a 58% chance of BTTS, while the match has a modest 53% likelihood of producing over 2.5 goals. These projections highlight a balanced encounter, but remember, all statistics are probabilistic—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.28 – 1.51

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 53%

Under 47%

Both teams to score

Yes 58%

No 42%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Montpellier 3–0 Brest
Aug 2022 Brest 0–7 Montpellier