Nantes vs Lorient Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sun 12 Feb, 16:05
Nantes
10 Full time
Lorient
Nantes 1–0 Lorient

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (46%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 46%
Draw 24%
Away 30%

💡 Nantes are favourites — about 46 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 50.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 50.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1495 v 1507 Lorient rated higher
Form Index DWDLW v DLWLD Nantes 1.6 · Lorient 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Nantes v Lorient

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1495 vs 1507).
  • Nantes is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lorient
Form Index
Nantes
Goal expectation
Nantes
Home advantage
Nantes

Green = favours Nantes · Blue = favours Lorient. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NantesDWDLW1.6 ppg
LorientDLWLD1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Nantes1495
Lorient1507
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model37% · 28% · 35%
Power Rating45% · 22% · 33%
Machine-learning47% · 12% · 41%

AI match preview

Nantes and Lorient are set for a closely contested Ligue 1 clash, with the model giving Nantes a slight 46% edge for a home win, while a draw and Lorient victory remain plausible outcomes. Both teams are projected to score nearly equally, with an expected goals tally of 1.47 for Nantes and 1.40 for Lorient, pointing toward a likely 1-1 scoreline. The probabilities also suggest a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance both teams will find the net; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.47 – 1.40

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 55%

Under 45%

Both teams to score

Yes 60%

No 40%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Nantes 1–0 Lorient
Sept 2022 Lorient 3–2 Nantes