Lyon vs Lens Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sun 12 Feb, 19:45
Lyon
21 Full time
Lens
Lyon 2–1 Lens

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (30%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 34%
Draw 30%
Away 36%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 36.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 36.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1520 v 1596 Lens rated higher
Form Index DLWDW v DWDLD Lyon 1.6 · Lens 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lyon v Lens

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Why we predict this

  • Lens is the stronger side on Power Rating (1596 vs 1520).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lens
Form Index
Lyon
Goal expectation
Lyon
Home advantage
Lyon

Green = favours Lyon · Blue = favours Lens. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LyonDLWDW1.6 ppg
LensDWDLD1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Lyon1520
Lens1596
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model35% · 37% · 28%
Power Rating36% · 26% · 38%
Machine-learning21% · 28% · 51%

AI match preview

Lyon and Lens are set to face off in a tightly contested Ligue 1 match, with the model giving a slight edge to Lens at 36% probability, closely followed by a home win at 34%, and a draw at 30%. Expected goals are low on both sides, 0.91 for Lyon and 0.79 for Lens, suggesting a cautious game likely to produce few goals, with a 0-0 scoreline the most probable outcome. With just a 24% chance of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score, fans should anticipate a tactical battle; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.91 – 0.79

Most likely score

0-0

20% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 24%

Under 76%

Both teams to score

Yes 34%

No 66%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Lyon 2–1 Lens
Oct 2022 Lens 1–0 Lyon