Auxerre vs Lyon Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Fri 17 Feb, 20:00
Auxerre
21 Full time
Lyon
Auxerre 2–1 Lyon

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (53%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 21%
Draw 26%
Away 53%

💡 Lyon are favourites — about 53 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 61.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 61.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1372 v 1532 Lyon rated higher
Form Index 0.4 v 2.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Auxerre v Lyon

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Lyon is the stronger side on Power Rating (1532 vs 1372).
  • Lyon is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lyon
Form Index
Lyon
Goal expectation
Lyon
Home advantage
Auxerre

Green = favours Auxerre · Blue = favours Lyon. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AuxerreLLLDD0.4 ppg
LyonLWDWW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Auxerre1372
Lyon1532
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model17% · 26% · 56%
Power Rating30% · 19% · 52%
Machine-learning7% · 33% · 60%

AI match preview

Auxerre hosts Lyon in a Ligue 1 clash where the visitors hold a 53% chance of victory, though a draw is slightly more probable than a home win. The model projects Lyon to edge the expected goals tally with 1.75 compared to Auxerre’s 0.89, yet a 1-1 scoreline remains the most likely outcome. With a balanced 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance both teams score, this match could offer competitive moments—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.89 – 1.75

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 49%

Under 51%

Both teams to score

Yes 50%

No 50%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Auxerre 2–1 Lyon
Aug 2022 Lyon 2–1 Auxerre