Lorient vs Ajaccio Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sun 19 Feb, 14:00
Lorient
30 Full time
Ajaccio
Lorient 3–0 Ajaccio

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (55%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 55%
Draw 25%
Away 21%

💡 Lorient are favourites — about 55 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 63.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 63.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1497 v 1384 Lorient rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 0.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lorient v Ajaccio

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Why we predict this

  • Lorient is the stronger side on Power Rating (1497 vs 1384).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lorient
Form Index
Lorient
Goal expectation
Lorient
Home advantage
Lorient

Green = favours Lorient · Blue = favours Ajaccio. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LorientLWLDL0.8 ppg
AjaccioLLWLL0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Lorient1497
Ajaccio1384
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model56% · 26% · 18%
Power Rating65% · 12% · 23%
Machine-learning67% · 22% · 11%

AI match preview

Lorient enters this Ligue 1 clash with a 55% chance to secure a home win against Ajaccio, backed by an expected goals tally of 1.83 to 0.96. Despite the home advantage, the model suggests a tight contest with a most likely scoreline of 1-1, highlighting a 25% draw probability. With both teams scoring predicted at 53% and a similar chance for over 2.5 goals, this match could offer balanced action; remember these projections are statistical estimates and gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.83 – 0.96

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 53%

Under 47%

Both teams to score

Yes 53%

No 47%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Lorient 3–0 Ajaccio
Sept 2022 Ajaccio 0–1 Lorient