Toulouse vs Marseille Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sun 19 Feb, 19:45
Toulouse
23 Full time
Marseille
Toulouse 2–3 Marseille

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (51%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 24%
Draw 26%
Away 51%

💡 Marseille are favourites — about 51 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 57.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 57.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1517 v 1618 Marseille rated higher
Form Index 2.0 v 2.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Toulouse v Marseille

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Marseille is the stronger side on Power Rating (1618 vs 1517).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Marseille
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Marseille
Home advantage
Toulouse

Green = favours Toulouse · Blue = favours Marseille. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ToulouseDWWLW2.0 ppg
MarseilleWDWLW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Toulouse1517
Marseille1618
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model17% · 24% · 59%
Power Rating34% · 24% · 42%
Machine-learning13% · 29% · 58%

AI match preview

Toulouse host Marseille in a Ligue 1 clash where the visitors hold a 51% chance of victory, according to model projections, while a draw is slightly more probable than a home win. Expected goals suggest Marseille could edge the scoring with 1.95 compared to Toulouse's 0.99, yet the most likely scoreline is a balanced 1-1 draw. With a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance both teams will score, this encounter promises competitive action—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.99 – 1.95

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 56%

Under 44%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Toulouse 2–3 Marseille
Dec 2022 Marseille 6–1 Toulouse