Lille vs Brest Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Fri 24 Feb, 20:00
Lille
21 Full time
Brest
Lille 2–1 Brest

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (69%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 69%
Draw 18%
Away 13%

💡 Lille are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 83.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 83.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1573 v 1425 Lille rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 1.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lille v Brest

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Why we predict this

  • Lille is the stronger side on Power Rating (1573 vs 1425).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lille
Form Index
Lille
Goal expectation
Lille
Home advantage
Lille

Green = favours Lille · Blue = favours Brest. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LilleLDWWL1.4 ppg
BrestWDDLL1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Lille1573
Brest1425
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model56% · 24% · 20%
Power Rating68% · 12% · 20%
Machine-learning75% · 17% · 9%

AI match preview

Lille enter this Ligue 1 clash against Brest as strong favorites, with a 69% chance of securing a home win according to the model, supported by an expected goals advantage of 1.97 to 1.12. Despite this, a draw remains a reasonable possibility at 18%, and the most likely scoreline is a tight 1-1 result, reflecting competitive balance. There is also a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% probability both teams will score, indicating an open contest; as always, these are statistical projections, so please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.97 – 1.12

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 60%

Under 40%

Both teams to score

Yes 59%

No 41%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Lille 2–1 Brest
Jan 2023 Brest 0–0 Lille