Ajaccio vs Troyes Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sun 26 Feb, 14:00
Ajaccio
21 Full time
Troyes
Ajaccio 2–1 Troyes

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (42%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 42%
Draw 25%
Away 33%

💡 Ajaccio have a slight edge — leaning Ajaccio, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 44.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 44.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1374 v 1400 Troyes rated higher
Form Index 0.6 v 0.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1374 vs 1400).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.0 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Troyes
Form Index
Ajaccio
Goal expectation
Troyes
Home advantage
Ajaccio

Green = favours Ajaccio · Blue = favours Troyes. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AjaccioLWLLL0.6 ppg
TroyesDLLLL0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Ajaccio1374
Troyes1400
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model26% · 24% · 49%
Power Rating42% · 24% · 34%
Machine-learning45% · 11% · 44%

AI match preview

Ajaccio host Troyes in a Ligue 1 clash where the model slightly favors a home win at 42%, though a draw or away victory remain plausible outcomes. The expected goals suggest a tight contest with 1.41 for Ajaccio and 1.96 for Troyes, pointing toward a likely 1-1 scoreline. With a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and 66% probability of both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.41 – 1.96

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 65%

Under 35%

Both teams to score

Yes 66%

No 34%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Ajaccio 2–1 Troyes
Oct 2022 Troyes 1–1 Ajaccio