Nice vs Auxerre Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Fri 3 Mar, 20:00
Nice
11 Full time
Auxerre
Nice 1–1 Auxerre

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (67%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 67%
Draw 20%
Away 14%

💡 Nice are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 79.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 79.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1591 v 1402 Nice rated higher
Form Index 2.6 v 1.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Nice v Auxerre

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Why we predict this

  • Nice is the stronger side on Power Rating (1591 vs 1402).
  • Nice is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 1.6 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Nice
Form Index
Nice
Goal expectation
Nice
Home advantage
Nice

Green = favours Nice · Blue = favours Auxerre. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NiceWWWDW2.6 ppg
AuxerreLDDWW1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Nice1591
Auxerre1402
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model65% · 24% · 11%
Power Rating71% · 12% · 17%
Machine-learning91% · 5% · 5%

AI match preview

Nice are favored to secure a home win against Auxerre, with a 67% probability and a strong confidence rating of 79/100, supported by an expected goals margin of 1.84 to 0.65. The model predicts a most likely scoreline of 2-0, while the chances of over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring stand at 45% and 42%, respectively. Remember, these projections are based on statistical analysis—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.84 – 0.65

Most likely score

2-0

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 45%

Under 55%

Both teams to score

Yes 42%

No 58%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 Nice 1–1 Auxerre
Oct 2022 Auxerre 1–1 Nice