Troyes vs Monaco Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sun 5 Mar, 12:00
Troyes
22 Full time
Monaco
Troyes 2–2 Monaco

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (63%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 15%
Draw 22%
Away 63%

💡 Monaco are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 75.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 75.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1390 v 1595 Monaco rated higher
Form Index 0.0 v 2.4 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Troyes v Monaco

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Why we predict this

  • Monaco is the stronger side on Power Rating (1595 vs 1390).
  • Monaco is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 0.0 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Monaco
Form Index
Monaco
Goal expectation
Monaco
Home advantage
Troyes

Green = favours Troyes · Blue = favours Monaco. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
TroyesLLLLL0.0 ppg
MonacoWWWWL2.4 ppg
Power Rating
Troyes1390
Monaco1595
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model12% · 23% · 65%
Power Rating27% · 14% · 59%
Machine-learning5% · 35% · 59%

AI match preview

Troyes host Monaco in this Ligue 1 clash where the away side is favored with a 63% chance of victory, backed by a solid confidence rating of 75/100. The model projects Monaco to score around two goals while Troyes may struggle to reach one, suggesting a likely 0-2 scoreline. With a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and a near-even 49% chance for both teams to score, fans can anticipate a competitive encounter; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.80 – 2.04

Most likely score

0-2

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 54%

Under 46%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%

No 51%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 Troyes 2–2 Monaco
Aug 2022 Monaco 2–4 Troyes