Toulouse vs Clermont Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sun 5 Mar, 14:00
Toulouse
01 Full time
Clermont
Toulouse 0–1 Clermont

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (50%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 50%
Draw 25%
Away 24%

💡 Toulouse are favourites — about 50 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 57.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 57.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1493 v 1457 Toulouse rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 0.4 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Toulouse v Clermont

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1493 vs 1457).
  • Toulouse is in clearly better recent form (1.2 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Toulouse
Form Index
Toulouse
Goal expectation
Toulouse
Home advantage
Toulouse

Green = favours Toulouse · Blue = favours Clermont. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ToulouseWLWLL1.2 ppg
ClermontDLLLD0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Toulouse1493
Clermont1457
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model37% · 29% · 34%
Power Rating53% · 18% · 29%
Machine-learning39% · 34% · 27%

AI match preview

Toulouse and Clermont are set for a closely contested Ligue 1 clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 50% probability, while a draw and away win stand at 25% and 24% respectively. Expected goals are nearly even, suggesting a tight game likely to produce around 1-1, supported by a 58% chance both teams will score and a marginal 52% likelihood of over 2.5 goals. These projections highlight a balanced encounter, but as always, please remember these are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.41 – 1.34

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 52%

Under 48%

Both teams to score

Yes 58%

No 42%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 Toulouse 0–1 Clermont
Sept 2022 Clermont 2–0 Toulouse